Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.400912 0.437466 0.476993 0.523103 0.575666 0.634010 0.704081
2025-09-07 0.342288 0.393421 0.452964 0.528276 0.622233 0.737300 0.891638
2025-09-14 0.300633 0.357174 0.426256 0.518523 0.641155 0.802582 1.038446
2025-09-21 0.274332 0.334398 0.410613 0.516978 0.665993 0.874735 1.204164
2025-09-28 0.248922 0.309273 0.388053 0.501770 0.667824 0.912454 1.324377
2025-10-05 0.239808 0.304095 0.390627 0.520255 0.718581 1.028308 1.592130
2025-10-12 0.230347 0.297270 0.389775 0.532975 0.761501 1.138310 1.878080
2025-10-19 0.218890 0.286541 0.382111 0.534149 0.785623 1.220363 2.134242
2025-10-26 0.205404 0.271845 0.367296 0.522422 0.786414 1.260686 2.316561
2025-11-02 0.193019 0.257873 0.352411 0.508952 0.782167 1.290376 2.483875
2025-11-09 0.182770 0.246373 0.340383 0.498876 0.782393 1.328267 2.681986
2025-11-16 0.173861 0.236326 0.329858 0.490249 0.783995 1.368864 2.900534
2025-11-23 0.165528 0.226941 0.320145 0.482837 0.788321 1.418954 3.173476
2025-11-30 0.160456 0.222288 0.317677 0.487860 0.817495 1.530038 3.677199
2025-12-07 0.153024 0.213546 0.308000 0.479159 0.818215 1.576411 4.004902
2025-12-14 0.147641 0.207710 0.302669 0.477778 0.833621 1.661223 4.513014
2025-12-21 0.140388 0.198542 0.291241 0.464144 0.821467 1.674686 4.767320
2025-12-28 0.139154 0.198896 0.295757 0.480714 0.876598 1.876381 5.930692
2026-01-04 0.137051 0.197705 0.297516 0.492102 0.921946 2.065186 7.238989
2026-01-11 0.133380 0.193746 0.294198 0.493152 0.943474 2.191162 8.376885
2026-01-18 0.128133 0.186939 0.285491 0.482656 0.935976 2.226062 9.031887
2026-01-25 0.122963 0.180062 0.276330 0.470585 0.923276 2.241955 9.597253
2026-02-01 0.118548 0.174290 0.268883 0.461547 0.917193 2.279168 10.374496